martes, 7 de octubre de 2008

USA Banks will close down for one week!!! or more!!! jojojo...where are you going to buy a mango???

Bailout Creating a Financial Black Hole to Suck Us All In

Posted: October 4 2008


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What is this?

A dish of Bailout with a side of pork, shareholders vaporized by Derivatives Death-Star, We all await the financial markets implosion, No problems solved by the bailout, Stay prepared for a full shutdown of the financial system with some cash on hand, Credit default swaps unregulated point in the chain

Well, what a surprise, we've been sold down the river for the usual "thirty pieces of silver" by our Congress and our President, working together in unison, for the nth time.  

The $700 billion bailout, a mere sideshow, sweetened with 150 billion in pork, has now been approved so that Wall Street can continue to game the system and its hapless suckers, the American sheople.  Just put some pork in, and the hungry piranha in Congress would legislate their own mothers into slavery for a nice juicy morsel of that pork.  And never mind the moral hazard dripping from the pork, because that makes it taste all the sweeter.

If you were wondering why all the healthier financial institutions, and of course we say that with tongue-in-cheek because we know they are all eventually slated for destruction by the explosive blast of a Quadrillion Dollar Derivative Death-Star, were buying all the gargantuan commercial and investment banks that are laden with toxic waste, you now have your answer.  This is why all the shareholders in these zombie-acquisition deals are getting vaporized.  Their assets were more valuable than they thought, because unbeknownst to them, the US government was about to pay far more for these assets than they were worth.  But since the shareholders were not Illuminists, they were not privy to this information.  And look at the disgrace with Citibank and Wachovia.  After Citigroup wipes out the Wachovia shareholders, with the help of the FDIC, suddenly Wells Fargo, which now sees the value of all of Wachovia's crap paper via the Paulson Ponzi-Plan, comes through with a better offer.  The Wachovia shareholders should attack Citigroup based on their fraudulent balance sheets, because they were in no position to acquire anything on this scale, or any other scale for that matter.

The Illuminist insiders were all told in advance that Wall Street's Excellent Bailout Bonanza would be stuffed down the throats of gullible US taxpayers.  Note how many of these zombie-acquisition-deals were done before the bailout plan was even proposed on September 20.  As you can see, the masters of the universe are so arrogant that they were willing to bet hundreds of billions of dollars that the Paulson Ponzi-Plan would be successfully shoved up our collective butts by our bought-and-paid-for-or-compromised government "representatives," so-called, despite the hue and cry of the sheople against this monstrosity, sometimes by as much as 300 to 1.  All that cesspool paper that they now own by virtue of these zombie-acquisition-deals is very valuable to them.  It will be sold to the government for far more than it is worth so that financial institutions around the world can somehow pretend that the losses are far less than they really are.  And never mind that everyone in the world knows this stuff is crap, because we will all now have some sort of collective pipedream in the United Goldilocks Matrix.  We can just see Hank and Ben firing up the pods and installing the everything-will-turn-out-juuuust-right software, so we can all pretend that the credit-crunch never happened.  We will just ignore it.  This is another Illuminist fantasy that will turn out about as well as their subprime scam.

Of course, the reality is, whether this cesspool paper worth pennies on the dollar is sold for its hold-to-maturity value or for some lesser, but still outrageously exaggerated, figure, the sheople will eat just about everything they pay out for this toxic garbage via the bailout plan.  This stuff is crap even under current conditions, which are worsening by the minute.  Just imagine what this stuff will be worth as the real estate markets, and the value of our new collateral, continue to fade off into the sunset while we enter into the Very Large Depression, which is now insured to happen by virtue of the Paulson Ponzi-Plan.  And how much less will it be worth as the rate of return on this garbage gets buried by the upcoming double-digit interest rates that will be born out of the hyperinflation generated by all these bailouts, thus reducing its present value quite drastically.  Then throw in the proposed government workouts, complete with interest rate reductions and cram-downs, just for good measure, and that ten cents on the dollar paper that we paid thirty, forty or fifty cents on the dollar for, will soon become worthless.  Making matters even worse, all this toxic waste will be sold by select Illuminist institutions at what will be sham "arranged" auctions where everyone gets to sell what they want for the price they want, as long as they are Illuminist insiders.  Everyone else can of course go scratch.  With Hanky Panky as the real, unsupervised or rubber-stamped auctioneer, you can bet that we, the sheople, will be taken to the Illuminati's slaughterhouse to be sliced up into some prime cuts for the elitist carnivores.  Mutton chops anyone?  Dinner is now served, complete with caviar and champagne.  Bon appetite.

The Illuminati will now act like drunken sailors at a keg party.  They will drain the keg in short order, and then ask for more.  If they do not get what they want, they will get rowdy, pounding the tables with their mugs and threatening a brawl that will destroy the tavern if they do not get their next round, pronto.  Out comes the next keg, which gets drained even faster than the first because everyone is inebriated, and the next round of table pounding and threats becomes manifest.  This process will proceed until everyone at the party has more than they can handle and passes out.  Then comes the derivatives tsunami that will drown them all in a sea of counterparty risk, an event which will be used to usher in a new Orwellian, corporatist fascist state, where the financial, manufacturing and other major industries are all nationalized.  We, and our European and Canadian counterparts, will all then resemble our fellow fascists, Marxists and dictators in Russia, in China, in the Middle East, in Asia and in South America, and the formation of world government will seem like the most the most natural thing to do, when everyone is on the same page, after the pesky, arrogant United States has been humbled into submission.

As we mentioned, this Excellent Bailout Bonanza, this Paulson Ponzi-Plan, is just a sideshow to distract everyone from the real issue, which is of course the Derivative Death-Star, with a Quadrillion Dollar mass that is about to implode, detonate, and morph into a financial black hole that will suck the entire world economy into its dark, massive, foreboding center.  The subprime debacle is just one of the many fuses leading into the gargantuan derivatives powder keg.  The subprime paper to be auctioned is little more than a catalyst for the creation of the real disaster, which are the credit-default swaps and interest rate swaps, an entangled, Byzantine labyrinth of opaque, unregulated counterparty risk that will be ignited by continuing corporate bankruptcies and double-digit interest rates that will be created by a hyper-inflated economy awash in bailout dollars which the Fed will have created out of thin air.

Foreign nations with dollar forex cannot possibly keep buying all the treasuries that will have to be created to fund all these bailouts because they are all experiencing rampant inflation, and printing more of their own domestic currencies to absorb the dollars necessary to purchase treasuries is no longer possible without risking social upheaval and revolution as hyperinflation destroys their economies.  This means that some, or even most, of the new treasuries that will be created by the Treasury and the Fed to fund the bailouts and deficits will have to be monetized, which is immediately inflationary.  M3 is about to explode as these many monetizations and the Fed's trillions in liquidity injections continue to flood the fiat money and credit system, which will continue in its cryogenic state despite the Paulson Ponzi-Plan that will now be implemented in an attempt to re-inflate the credit markets, which are the lifeblood of our debt-based, fiat money system, thanks to the cessation of the gold standard.   Everyone on Wall Street knows that the subprime paper is not the real problem.  The real reason they distrust one another, and will not lend to one another, is the unknown counterparty risk that will go into a plasma state when the Derivative Death-Star detonates.  It is the opaque, unregulated OTC derivatives market that they are really afraid of.

Due to the fact that you have 70 or more trillion of credit default swaps insuring 5 trillion in bonds, a ten billion dollar loss by a large corporation can on average morph into a 140 billion disaster of epic proportions that could wipe out several other companies, whose own credit-default swap counterparty risk would then ignite, in a chain reaction reminiscent of a thermonuclear explosion.  Remember, credit default swaps are not true derivatives with a zero net sum.  They are insurance policies.  But unlike most insurance, there are no regulators or loss reserves, thanks to Slick Willie Clinton and the Congress, which passed the Commodity Futures Modernization Act in 2000.  Worse yet, they can be used to insure property which the insured party does not even own.  Hence, you can see why everyone trembles at the thought of this radioactive sector going thermonuclear.

Did you see how the stock market received the Paulson Ponzi-Plan?  They used it as an opportunity to de-leverage, which is pretty much all it was good for, and the Dow was taken to a new low in the process.  No problems have been solved, and we will continue on to our ignominious destiny with recession, depression, and a third world Banana Republic standing where we are all but irrelevant to the world economy.   No one will have anything but worthless paper to spend for foreign tangible goods.

Americans and Europeans are too stupid to understand the necessity of owning precious metals under these disastrous circumstances, and they will have little of value to trade for the tangible goods exported by the world's manufacturing economies, who have taken over America's role as the lead producer thanks to free trade, globalization, off-shoring, outsourcing and both legal and illegal immigration. The main purpose of the IF is to wise these dolts up, and save them from the planned destruction of our economy at the hands of the Illuminati.  This situation is survivable, but advance notice and preparation are the key to success.  Gold and silver are the only remedy for what now ails our nation, and nations around the world.  

The Senate financial market rescue bill would temporarily allow the FDIC to borrow unlimited amounts of money from the Treasury Department in order to provide larger government deposit coverage that would extend until the end of next year, which really means forever. This has all the earmarks of a banana republic.

The latest propaganda from the government and the Illuminist think tanks tells us that, treasuries are more secure than gold because they are backed by the US government and gold has a counter party risk by whoever is storing your gold as the counter party. I've never heard any stupider comments.

The Fed has informed Bank of America to
be ready for a one-week
universal shutdown of the banking system, including access to checking accounts, savings accounts and credit cards. This is why you need $5,000 in small bills in your safe at home and small denomination gold and silver coins.


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miércoles, 1 de octubre de 2008

How finacialized global capitalism crisis affects South Africa by UMZEBENZI ON-LINE

Volume 7, No. 17, 1 October 2008

In this Issue:
Red Alert
The Current Global Financial Crisis and its Implications for South Africa
Guest Contributor: Rob Davies, Member of the SACP Central Committee and Deputy Minister of Trade and Industry
The proposed $ 700 billion bail out for US banks is a striking indication of the extent of the current crisis of financialised global capitalism. $ 700 billion is nearly three times the Gross Domestic Product (total value of goods and services) of South Africa. The most recent bail out proposal follows earlier hand outs to mortgage lending companies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as well as the buy out of major insurance companies. The failure by the US Congress to approve it led to the biggest ever single day's fall in US stock prices. And yet, it is far from clear that the bail out package, even if approved, would actually succeed in "stabilizing" the crisis-ridden financialised global capitalist system. 
What lies behind this crisis of global capitalism? And what implications does it have for workers and the poor in South Africa? 
In Volume III of Capital, Marx demonstrated why capitalism is unable to develop along a path of uninterrupted expansion, and instead always evolves in cycles of booms and busts. Because the system is essentially anarchic, during periods of boom it is driven by a feeding frenzy of individualized expansion into new areas of activity.
Inevitably after time this includes areas where the underlying productive activity is unable to sustain profitability. The cycle turns and a huge competitive struggle ensues to determine which capitals must be destroyed to allow the system to re-create itself in another cycle of expansion.
Capitalist globalization since the 1990s has seen what has been called "financialisation" of investment. Facilitated by the introduction of Information and Communications Technology (ICT), capital has built the capacity to move from one investment to another in any part of the globe virtually at the press of a button. In this environment new financial institutions and new practices have emerged, located principally in the United States as the corporate headquarters of global finance capital.
"Leveraging" (meaning extending credit to a value several times that of underlying assets) and "derivative trading" (meaning repackaging real assets into financial assets in various forms) have been the basis on which enormous profits have been accumulated in recent years. Yet this has become further and further removed from the productive base of all wealth and accumulation in the "real" economy of manufacturing, agriculture and productive services, meaning that the engine room of capitalist accumulation has increasingly become in the words of Cde Fidel Castro "the casino economy" of trading in financial instruments.
Both these elements are essential to understand the current crisis. At its onset, orthodox financial commentators told us that the origin of the crisis was problems in the "sub prime" housing mortgage market in the US.
It is now evident, even to vulgar commentators, that this explanation is wholly inadequate and that the "sub prime" mortgage issue was a mere symptom of a much more profound phenomenon. Essentially during the upswing, financialised capital penetrated into a whole range of activities that would otherwise have been considered "risky". Marshalling arguments located in the ideology of neo-liberalism and market fundamentalism, finance capital resisted calls for regulation and instead asserted its unfettered "right" to "leverage" all kinds of financial instruments off "risky" underlying assets, as well as create "derivatives" of various kinds.
This kind of activity, it is now apparent, has affected (and infected) large parts of the system – not just in the US but also in Europe and Asia. Whether we are yet at the bottom of the cycle, or whether any of the proposed bail outs will have any impact remains to be seen. The crisis has already taken its toll on supposed icons of US banking (like Lehman Brothers) and the institution of investment banks (banks that do not take deposits).
What then does this mean for us in South Africa? A phase of capitalist downswing always implies contraction in production and employment. This, moreover, is always an uneven process across the imperialist chain. Thus far, South Africa and Africa have been partly shielded by the rise of the so-called "Global South" (China, India, Brazil) as significant economic powers. Industrial development in these countries continues to be minerals intensive and this has fueled high prices for mineral products. Thus far, these countries have experienced the impact of the global crisis as relatively small declines in very high growth rates. In policy terms, this must surely be a major reason why we need to prioritise deepening our relations with these countries and insisting on continuing to diversify our trade relations.
Thus far, too, South African financial institutions have been spared the worst of "contagion" from the crisis in the US. Interestingly, The Business Times of 21 September attributed this partly to "exchange control" which meant "there is a healthy degree of trapped liquidity within the financial system".
But, there still remain serious risks. Continued downturn could further depress production across the world, including in the countries of the "Global South". Moreover, Morgan Stanley has warned that capital flows to "emerging markets" could be cut by a quarter in 2009 – as capital seeks to exit perceived "risky investments".
South Africa could find itself significantly impacted on by the latter, as we have relied on inflows of short term foreign capital ("hot money") to fund the deficit on the current account of the balance of payments (meaning we continue to import more goods and services than we export).
In immediate policy terms, this would suggest that that the drive to incrementally lift exchange controls needs to be revisited, that we must ensure that "leveraging" and "derivative trading" by South African financial institutions is properly and effectively regulated, and that we urgently take steps to reduce our dependence on short term foreign capital.
In the longer run, the current crisis of financialised global capitalism must surely become a rallying cry to redouble our efforts to end a system in which the lives and destinies of working people and the poor across the world are held hostage to a handful of speculators in Wall Street.

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Basta Ya!--USA

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